A stock is sold today at €50

Subject:FinancePrice:2.86 Bought11

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A stock is sold today at €50. You forecast that in boom times the stock value will increase to €100 while in a downturn the stock price will decrease to €25. You expect a dividend payment in the end of the period of 2% of the original price. Since times are very uncertain, your best guess is that a recession is as likely as a boom. a) What are the state-dependent rates of return? b) Calculate the expected return.